Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.29 – 265.33

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

17 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 16 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.8 ±11.7

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -3.95Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -10.77Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 35.01Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 669.9 ±9.3

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 51.82Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 50.89Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 162.62Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3492, 620, 2614

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.3 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3492, 620, 2614

Auto

10.5 100%

Teleop

2.4 39%

Endgame

-6.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1262, 5338, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.3 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1262, 5338, 195

Auto

35.2 14%

Teleop

150.5 58%

Endgame

74.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score20.3pts

Blue projected score265.3pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 88%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245
Score range: -21–306
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 229.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

390.8Season APEX669.9

10.5Auto35.2

2.4Teleop150.5

-6.8Endgame74

47Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	82
teleop	0	153
endgame	4	44
foul	0	15
total	17	294

Result

Final score

17 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 16 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable