Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

209.73 – 443.2

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

328 – 515

Prediction correct · off by 95 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.9 ±11.9

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 146.49Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 34.97Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 28.27Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 838.7 ±10.2

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 99.12Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 47.08Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 297Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 4265, 1086

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.7 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2539, 4265, 1086

Auto

75.3 35%

Teleop

111.1 51%

Endgame

30.3 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 346, 5740, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

443.2 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 346, 5740, 27

Auto

62.5 14%

Teleop

253.5 56%

Endgame

134.2 30%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.15 · Blue 3.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score209.7pts

Blue projected score443.2pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 87%, blue 88%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -233.5
Score range: 169–484
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 843 vs event baseline 225.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

537.9Season APEX838.7

75.3Auto62.5

111.1Teleop253.5

30.3Endgame134.2

5Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	138
teleop	198	242
endgame	61	115
foul	0	20
total	328	515

Result

Final score

328 – 515

Prediction correct · off by 95 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable