Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.89 – 270.72

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 455

Prediction correct · off by 110.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 320.4 ±12.4

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 74.29Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -1.85Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 5.45Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 664.1 ±10.2

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 41.26Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 68.17Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 161.29Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1533, 3260, 1111

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1533, 3260, 1111

Auto

5.6 7%

Teleop

61.8 77%

Endgame

12.9 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1466, 1629, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.7 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1466, 1629, 1325

Auto

48.3 18%

Teleop

135.4 51%

Endgame

83.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score77.9pts

Blue projected score270.7pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 79%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -192.8
Score range: 37–312
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 497 vs event baseline 225.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

320.4Season APEX664.1

5.6Auto48.3

61.8Teleop135.4

12.9Endgame83.7

24Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	72
teleop	14	297
endgame	18	86
foul	0	0
total	42	455

Result

Final score

42 – 455

Prediction correct · off by 110.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable