Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.67 – 238.67

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 554.4 ±9.8

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 56.21Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 55.46Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 2Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.4 ±12.9

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 121.18Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 99.76Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 17.73Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5338, 1262, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.7 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5338, 1262, 3492

Auto

9.2 10%

Teleop

62.9 67%

Endgame

22.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4467, 117, 9121

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4467, 117, 9121

Auto

60.8 26%

Teleop

132.0 56%

Endgame

42.7 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score113.7pts

Blue projected score238.7pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -125
Score range: 73–280
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 227.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

554.4Season APEX489.4

9.2Auto60.8

62.9Teleop132

22.2Endgame42.7

26Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	57
teleop	30	96
endgame	28	34
foul	0	15
total	77	202

Result

Final score

77 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable