Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

166.01 – 381.37

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

344 – 368

Prediction correct · off by 95.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465 ±12.1

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -16.61Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 147.06Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 35.56Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 682.2 ±10.8

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 54.11Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 30.65Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 296.61Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3260, 1325, 6239

/ 100 compat

Projected

166 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3260, 1325, 6239

Auto

35.7 21%

Teleop

102.3 61%

Endgame

30.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5740, 1086, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

381.4 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5740, 1086, 27

Auto

66.6 18%

Teleop

192.5 51%

Endgame

114.9 31%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score166pts

Blue projected score381.4pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 79%, blue 84%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -215.4
Score range: 125–422
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 712 vs event baseline 225.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465Season APEX682.2

35.7Auto66.6

102.3Teleop192.5

30Endgame114.9

79Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	104
teleop	196	185
endgame	79	79
foul	5	0
total	344	368

Result

Final score

344 – 368

Prediction correct · off by 95.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable