Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

191.71 – 358.77

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

222 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431 ±12.2

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 128.49Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 22.47Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 40.75Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 709.8 ±11.4

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 159.03Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 59.88Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 139.86Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3940, 5811, 2614

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.7 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3940, 5811, 2614

Auto

50.7 28%

Teleop

80.4 45%

Endgame

48.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 195, 7515, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

358.8 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 7515, 2539

Auto

94.1 26%

Teleop

191.6 53%

Endgame

76.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score191.7pts

Blue projected score358.8pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -167.1
Score range: 152–399
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 623 vs event baseline 223.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431Season APEX709.8

50.7Auto94.1

80.4Teleop191.6

48.6Endgame76

49Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	99
teleop	126	228
endgame	46	74
foul	0	0
total	222	401

Result

Final score

222 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable