Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.61 – 167.74

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 168

Prediction missed · off by 53.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 457.4 ±9.9

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 14.96Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 75.91Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 85.74Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 552.5 ±12.4

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 29Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 38.16Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 100.58Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1111, 1629, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.6 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1111, 1629, 1533

Auto

6.7 4%

Teleop

114.5 65%

Endgame

55.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10011, 1466, 346

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.7 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10011, 1466, 346

Auto

32.3 18%

Teleop

89.3 49%

Endgame

59.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score176.6pts

Blue projected score167.7pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 85%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.9
Score range: 127–218
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 225.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

457.4Season APEX552.5

6.7Auto32.3

114.5Teleop89.3

55.3Endgame59.9

20Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	53
teleop	31	85
endgame	17	30
foul	5	0
total	70	168

Result

Final score

70 – 168

Prediction missed · off by 53.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable