Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.91 – 327.49

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

132 – 422

Prediction correct · off by 66.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.3 ±10.5

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 30.28Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 39.12Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 101.51Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 527.1 ±12.1

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 291.31Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 31.62Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 4.56Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1086, 6239, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.9 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1086, 6239, 48

Auto

37.1 23%

Teleop

99.9 61%

Endgame

26.5 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 27, 4265, 9121

/ 100 compat

Projected

327.5 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 4265, 9121

Auto

44.1 13%

Teleop

182.3 56%

Endgame

101.5 31%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score170.9pts

Blue projected score327.5pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 86%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -156.6
Score range: 131–367
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 554 vs event baseline 224.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.3Season APEX527.1

37.1Auto44.1

99.9Teleop182.3

26.5Endgame101.5

36Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	68
teleop	55	238
endgame	29	116
foul	15	0
total	132	422

Result

Final score

132 – 422

Prediction correct · off by 66.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable