Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

224.39 – 333.54

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 278

Prediction missed · off by 89.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 584.3 ±10.8

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 136.23Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 41.58Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 46.58Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518.9 ±12.4

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 60.14Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 210.49Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 62.91Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 1262, 5740

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.4 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 1262, 5740

Auto

41.9 19%

Teleop

128.2 57%

Endgame

54.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7515, 10021, 8728

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.5 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7515, 10021, 8728

Auto

86.1 25%

Teleop

182.4 54%

Endgame

71.1 21%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.42 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score224.4pts

Blue projected score333.5pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 88%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.2
Score range: 184–374
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 626 vs event baseline 222.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

584.3Season APEX518.9

41.9Auto86.1

128.2Teleop182.4

54.3Endgame71.1

22Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	51
teleop	157	153
endgame	102	74
foul	0	0
total	348	278

Result

Final score

348 – 278

Prediction missed · off by 89.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable