Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

154.32 – 359.07

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

215 – 204

Prediction missed · off by 107.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.4 ±13.9

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 7.62Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 119.16Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 27.54Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 729 ±9.3

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 95.49Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 112.36Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 151.22Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1111, 4467, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.3 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1111, 4467, 10011

Auto

38.3 23%

Teleop

82.6 49%

Endgame

49.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1533, 117, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

359.1 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1533, 117, 2539

Auto

73.5 20%

Teleop

231.5 63%

Endgame

60.9 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score154.3pts

Blue projected score359.1pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 88%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -204.7
Score range: 114–399
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 222.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

404.4Season APEX729

38.3Auto73.5

82.6Teleop231.5

49Endgame60.9

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	56
teleop	113	109
endgame	51	39
foul	15	0
total	215	204

Result

Final score

215 – 204

Prediction missed · off by 107.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable