Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

181.26 – 93.31

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 530.6 ±11.2

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 156.74Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -10.97Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 35.49Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.8 ±13

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -18.3Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 36.23Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 75.38Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 620, 1466

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.3 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 620, 1466

Auto

37.6 22%

Teleop

82.9 48%

Endgame

52.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3260, 2614, 1629

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.3 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3260, 2614, 1629

Auto

29.3 37%

Teleop

33.4 42%

Endgame

16.2 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score181.3pts

Blue projected score93.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.9
Score range: 53–221
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 323 vs event baseline 224.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

530.6Season APEX407.8

37.6Auto29.3

82.9Teleop33.4

52Endgame16.2

36Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	36
teleop	107	60
endgame	78	10
foul	15	0
total	217	106

Result

Final score

217 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable