Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

145.24 – 214.5

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 651.8 ±10.5

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 8.81Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 31.74Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 104.69Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.9 ±10.5

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 124.8Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 54.55Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 35.15Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3492, 5811, 346

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.2 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3492, 5811, 346

Auto

31.0 21%

Teleop

72.7 50%

Endgame

43.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3940, 5338, 611

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.5 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3940, 5338, 611

Auto

18.3 9%

Teleop

118.7 57%

Endgame

73.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.53 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score145.2pts

Blue projected score214.5pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 79%, blue 85%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.3
Score range: 104–256
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 225.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

651.8Season APEX439.9

31Auto18.3

72.7Teleop118.7

43Endgame73

53Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	17
teleop	65	124
endgame	5	80
foul	0	35
total	88	256

Result

Final score

88 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable