Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

370.47 – 116.38

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

342 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 607.3 ±11.9

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 216.93Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 29.88Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 123.66Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.1 ±12.9

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 6.49Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 47.24Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 62.65Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10021, 1086, 4467

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.5 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10021, 1086, 4467

Auto

104.2 27%

Teleop

209.9 54%

Endgame

73.5 19%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1111, 1262, 7515

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.4 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1111, 1262, 7515

Auto

33.8 28%

Teleop

79.4 65%

Endgame

8.9 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.93 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score370.5pts

Blue projected score116.4pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 87%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 254.1
Score range: 75–411
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 465 vs event baseline 225.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

607.3Season APEX306.1

104.2Auto33.8

209.9Teleop79.4

73.5Endgame8.9

42Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	24
teleop	191	48
endgame	86	21
foul	0	30
total	342	123

Result

Final score

342 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable