Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

333.07 – 161.15

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

122 – 147

Prediction missed · off by 112.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 435.8 ±11.2

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 148.78Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 62.58Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 121.71Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 545.1 ±10.5

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 103.35Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 16.47Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 41.33Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3940, 1466, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.1 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3940, 1466, 1533

Auto

45.8 14%

Teleop

169.3 53%

Endgame

103.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 346, 3492, 6239

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.1 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 346, 3492, 6239

Auto

20.4 12%

Teleop

94.3 57%

Endgame

49.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.78 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score333.1pts

Blue projected score161.1pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 171.9
Score range: 120–374
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 228.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

435.8Season APEX545.1

45.8Auto20.4

169.3Teleop94.3

103.7Endgame49.3

0Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	27
teleop	61	71
endgame	47	14
foul	0	35
total	122	147

Result

Final score

122 – 147

Prediction missed · off by 112.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable