Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

186.44 – 74.32

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

135 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 513.3 ±11.9

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 58.79Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 105.38Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 22.27Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.1 ±11.6

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 42.67Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX -9.55Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 41.2Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7515, 48, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.4 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7515, 48, 3492

Auto

44.7 25%

Teleop

88.9 50%

Endgame

44.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1262, 1111, 6239

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.3 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1262, 1111, 6239

Auto

2.9 3%

Teleop

80.0 95%

Endgame

1.4 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.55 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score186.4pts

Blue projected score74.3pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112.1
Score range: 32–228
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 231.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

513.3Season APEX269.1

44.7Auto2.9

88.9Teleop80

44.8Endgame1.4

0Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	30
teleop	81	22
endgame	32	1
foul	0	30
total	135	83

Result

Final score

135 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable