Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
344.55 – 138.08
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
367 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 40.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 699.5 ±9.4
Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 283.46Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -2.24Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 63.33Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315 ±14.5
Season APEX 42Event APEX 29.59Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 90.27Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 18.22Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 27, 3492, 1262
80
/ 100 compatProjected
344.5 pts
~2.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 27, 3492, 1262
Auto
53.7 16%
Teleop
184.6 55%
Endgame
97.1 29%
Strengths
- · 27 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 611, 4467, 3260
47
/ 100 compatProjected
138.1 pts
~1.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 611, 4467, 3260
Auto
28.2 21%
Teleop
71.6 53%
Endgame
34.7 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 82%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.86 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score344.5pts
Blue projected score138.1pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 82%, blue 78%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 206.5
- Score range
- 96–387
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
699.5Season APEX315
53.7Auto28.2
184.6Teleop71.6
97.1Endgame34.7
17Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 17 |
| teleop | 204 | 54 |
| endgame | 100 | 8 |
| foul | 45 | 0 |
| total | 367 | 79 |
Result
Final score
367 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 40.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable