Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

537.74 – 173.81

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

571 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 889.1 ±11

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 293.81Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 115.41Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 128.52Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 643.3 ±11.4

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 115.93Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 43.24Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 14.64Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 4467, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

537.7 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 4467, 2539

Auto

85.4 16%

Teleop

307.0 57%

Endgame

147.6 27%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 91%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1325, 5740, 5811

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.8 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 5740, 5811

Auto

33.7 18%

Teleop

108.6 59%

Endgame

41.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 91%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.11 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score537.7pts

Blue projected score173.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 91%, blue 82%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 363.9
Score range: 133–579
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 883 vs event baseline 230.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

889.1Season APEX643.3

85.4Auto33.7

307Teleop108.6

147.6Endgame41.1

37Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	133	98
teleop	332	103
endgame	106	106
foul	0	5
total	571	312

Result

Final score

571 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 85.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable