Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
105.54 – 232.06
17%83%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
131 – 235
Prediction correct · off by 14.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 557.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 25.06Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 81.8Event APEX -24.62Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 105.1Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 623.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 98.93Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 118.46Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 14.67Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3492, 1111, 346
31
/ 100 compatProjected
105.5 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3492, 1111, 346
Auto
1.3 1%
Teleop
90.7 72%
Endgame
34.8 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 117, 48, 1086
59
/ 100 compatProjected
232.1 pts
~2.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 117, 48, 1086
Auto
54.7 23%
Teleop
149.0 62%
Endgame
35.3 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score105.5pts
Blue projected score232.1pts
Red win probability17%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 73%, blue 89%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -126.5
- Score range
- 64–274
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
557.1Season APEX623.9
1.3Auto54.7
90.7Teleop149
34.8Endgame35.3
42Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 55 |
| teleop | 68 | 129 |
| endgame | 38 | 41 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 131 | 235 |
Result
Final score
131 – 235
Prediction correct · off by 14.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable