Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.94 – 51.65

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 111.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.5 ±10.5

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 9.19Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 8.91Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 104.84Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.8 ±12.7

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 6.35Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 50.46Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX -5.16Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6239, 620, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6239, 620, 195

Auto

4.6 4%

Teleop

69.2 58%

Endgame

45.5 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5811, 8728, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.7 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5811, 8728, 10011

Auto

27.0 44%

Teleop

4.7 8%

Endgame

29.0 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.36 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score122.9pts

Blue projected score51.7pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 87%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.3
Score range: 10–165
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 397 vs event baseline 232.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.5Season APEX436.8

4.6Auto27

69.2Teleop4.7

45.5Endgame29

65Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	31
teleop	157	70
endgame	49	31
foul	0	0
total	265	132

Result

Final score

265 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 111.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable