Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

254.1 – 161.64

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.5 ±11.9

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 94.9Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 110.55Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 48.65Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.4 ±15

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 41.16Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 52.15Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 68.33Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1629, 4467, 1262

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.1 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1629, 4467, 1262

Auto

44.9 18%

Teleop

127.6 52%

Endgame

71.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4265, 5740, 7515

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.6 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4265, 5740, 7515

Auto

57.5 36%

Teleop

70.3 44%

Endgame

33.0 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.4 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score254.1pts

Blue projected score161.6pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.5
Score range: 120–296
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 233.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.5Season APEX363.4

44.9Auto57.5

127.6Teleop70.3

71.7Endgame33

103Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	58
teleop	151	55
endgame	62	28
foul	0	0
total	249	141

Result

Final score

249 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable