Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

537.7 – 245.78

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

676 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 119 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 844.6 ±8.8

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 151.77Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 108.2Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 277.73Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.6 ±9.9

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 7.9Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 150.34Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 87.54Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3940, 2539, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

537.7 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3940, 2539, 27

Auto

54.5 10%

Teleop

324.9 60%

Endgame

160.4 30%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 95%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9121, 1533, 5338

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9121, 1533, 5338

Auto

35.4 15%

Teleop

156.9 66%

Endgame

46.8 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 95%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.22 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score537.7pts

Blue projected score245.8pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 95%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 291.9
Score range: 205–579
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 822 vs event baseline 228.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

844.6Season APEX435.6

54.5Auto35.4

324.9Teleop156.9

160.4Endgame46.8

1Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	130	27
teleop	344	70
endgame	177	44
foul	25	5
total	676	146

Result

Final score

676 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 119 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable