Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.08 – 338.1

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 517

Prediction correct · off by 95.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.2 ±13.9

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 63.84Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -40.96Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 56.2Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 728.5 ±10.2

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 33.58Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 92.62Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 211.9Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 611, 3260, 2614

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 611, 3260, 2614

Auto

23.0 40%

Teleop

42.0 73%

Endgame

-7.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1466, 1325, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

338.1 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1466, 1325, 10021

Auto

69.0 19%

Teleop

206.1 57%

Endgame

85.2 24%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.89 · Blue 3.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score79.1pts

Blue projected score338.1pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 88%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -259
Score range: 38–379
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 609 vs event baseline 225.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.2Season APEX728.5

23Auto69

42Teleop206.1

-7.3Endgame85.2

134Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	109
teleop	40	280
endgame	7	123
foul	5	5
total	92	517

Result

Final score

92 – 517

Prediction correct · off by 95.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable