Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.44 – 332.98

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

7 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 160.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.9 ±12.9

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 16.45Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 38.12Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 72.87Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 667.5 ±10.5

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 139.27Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 176.08Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 17.63Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6239, 620, 7515

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.4 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6239, 620, 7515

Auto

18.7 17%

Teleop

72.3 64%

Endgame

21.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 117, 48, 5811

/ 100 compat

Projected

333 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 117, 48, 5811

Auto

74.5 24%

Teleop

176.6 57%

Endgame

59.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1 · Blue 2.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score127.4pts

Blue projected score333pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -205.5
Score range: 85–375
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 139 vs event baseline 230.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.9Season APEX667.5

18.7Auto74.5

72.3Teleop176.6

21.6Endgame59.3

50Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	33
teleop	9	109
endgame	6	30
foul	5	0
total	7	132

Result

Final score

7 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 160.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable