Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

271.67 – 102.84

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

206 – 12

Prediction correct · off by 78.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.4 ±9.9

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 63.39Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 161.64Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 46.64Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.1 ±13.9

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 19.85Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 13.05Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 69.94Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5338, 2539, 6239

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.7 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5338, 2539, 6239

Auto

50.8 19%

Teleop

155.7 59%

Endgame

59.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1466, 1111, 4265

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.8 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1466, 1111, 4265

Auto

22.8 23%

Teleop

45.3 46%

Endgame

30.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.8 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score271.7pts

Blue projected score102.8pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.8
Score range: 61–314
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 230.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.4Season APEX317.1

50.8Auto22.8

155.7Teleop45.3

59.3Endgame30.1

13Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	12
teleop	152	0
endgame	9	0
foul	0	0
total	206	12

Result

Final score

206 – 12

Prediction correct · off by 78.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable