Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

352.22 – 293.24

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

283 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 104.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 644.8 ±10.8

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 54.59Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 19.36Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 278.27Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.4 ±9.9

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 165.07Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 106.53Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 21.64Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1262, 10011, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

352.2 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1262, 10011, 27

Auto

37.3 11%

Teleop

197.4 59%

Endgame

102.0 30%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 90%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1533, 2539, 1111

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1533, 2539, 1111

Auto

27.1 9%

Teleop

208.4 71%

Endgame

56.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 90%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.4 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score352.2pts

Blue projected score293.2pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 90%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59
Score range: 251–394
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 231.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

644.8Season APEX540.4

37.3Auto27.1

197.4Teleop208.4

102Endgame56.9

19Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	44
teleop	181	139
endgame	124	15
foul	0	15
total	283	153

Result

Final score

283 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 104.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable