Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

293.37 – 129.37

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

241 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 534.8 ±12.4

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 106.08Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 55.46Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 131.83Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.4 ±12.4

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -43.38Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 34.33Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 138.42Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 611, 4467

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.4 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 611, 4467

Auto

65.4 23%

Teleop

141.4 50%

Endgame

76.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3260, 1086, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.4 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3260, 1086, 3940

Auto

24.6 21%

Teleop

56.6 49%

Endgame

33.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.73 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score293.4pts

Blue projected score129.4pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 87%, blue 82%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 164
Score range: 87–335
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 233.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

534.8Season APEX361.4

65.4Auto24.6

141.4Teleop56.6

76.8Endgame33.9

120Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	44
teleop	130	67
endgame	96	21
foul	0	0
total	241	112

Result

Final score

241 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable