Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

459.51 – 86.26

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

321 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 149.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 886 ±8.1

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 104.83Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 228.53Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 126.15Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 536.1 ±12.4

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 68.11Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 21.34Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX -3.19Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 10021, 346

/ 100 compat

Projected

459.5 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 10021, 346

Auto

75.6 16%

Teleop

277.5 60%

Endgame

108.3 23%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 93%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5338, 5740, 1466

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.3 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5338, 5740, 1466

Auto

18.2 21%

Teleop

17.7 21%

Endgame

49.1 58%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 93%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.2 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score459.5pts

Blue projected score86.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 93%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 373.3
Score range: 44–502
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 567 vs event baseline 235.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

886Season APEX536.1

75.6Auto18.2

277.5Teleop17.7

108.3Endgame49.1

71Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	69
teleop	300	143
endgame	109	19
foul	0	15
total	321	246

Result

Final score

321 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 149.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable