Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

299.41 – 27.93

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

492 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 111.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 729 ±9.3

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 84.76Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 116.74Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 97.91Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.1 ±13.4

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 15.31Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -36.6Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 49.22Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 1533, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.4 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2539, 1533, 117

Auto

67.1 23%

Teleop

161.4 54%

Endgame

68.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 88%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5811, 3260, 611

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5811, 3260, 611

Auto

7.4 21%

Teleop

20.2 59%

Endgame

6.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 88%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.02 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score299.4pts

Blue projected score27.9pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 88%, blue 77%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 271.5
Score range: -14–341
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 551 vs event baseline 234.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

729Season APEX300.1

67.1Auto7.4

161.4Teleop20.2

68.1Endgame6.9

153Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	26
teleop	350	3
endgame	76	0
foul	0	30
total	492	59

Result

Final score

492 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 111.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable