Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

334.89 – 297.76

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

670 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 231.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 930.3 ±7.5

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 49.86Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 208.74Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 76.29Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 395.6 ±11.7

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 70.6Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 64.47Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 162.69Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 27, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

334.9 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 27, 48

Auto

30.5 9%

Teleop

190.2 58%

Endgame

109.7 33%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 95%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1262, 10011, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

297.8 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1262, 10011, 3940

Auto

41.1 14%

Teleop

156.3 54%

Endgame

92.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 95%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.51 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score334.9pts

Blue projected score297.8pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 95%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.1
Score range: 257–376
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 840 vs event baseline 229.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

930.3Season APEX395.6

30.5Auto41.1

190.2Teleop156.3

109.7Endgame92

89Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	23
teleop	422	105
endgame	170	42
foul	15	0
total	670	170

Result

Final score

670 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 231.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable