Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.24 – 394.87

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.3 ±12.7

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 25.7Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 22.76Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 43.78Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 681.7 ±9.3

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 141.21Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 229.28Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 24.38Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1466, 1111, 9121

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.2 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1466, 1111, 9121

Auto

20.3 23%

Teleop

65.5 75%

Endgame

1.2 1%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 195, 10021, 620

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.9 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 10021, 620

Auto

76.2 19%

Teleop

231.3 59%

Endgame

86.0 22%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.87 · Blue 3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score92.2pts

Blue projected score394.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 90%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -302.6
Score range: 50–437
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 230.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.3Season APEX681.7

20.3Auto76.2

65.5Teleop231.3

1.2Endgame86

0Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	48
teleop	11	211
endgame	15	96
foul	0	0
total	48	355

Result

Final score

48 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable