Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.65 – 174.54

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

298 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 90.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 474 ±9.9

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 111.9Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 27.23Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 63.52Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 546 ±11.4

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 91.64Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 41.68Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 41.22Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 346, 9121, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.7 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 346, 9121, 1533

Auto

32.9 16%

Teleop

111.2 55%

Endgame

58.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 48, 1629, 7515

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.5 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 48, 1629, 7515

Auto

31.0 18%

Teleop

94.1 55%

Endgame

45.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 82%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score202.7pts

Blue projected score174.5pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 82%, blue 81%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.1
Score range: 133–245
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 230.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

474Season APEX546

32.9Auto31

111.2Teleop94.1

58.9Endgame45

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	30
teleop	187	150
endgame	69	81
foul	0	0
total	298	261

Result

Final score

298 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 90.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable