Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

334.2 – 381.37

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

242 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.8 ±11.2

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 29.33Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1086Blue Cheese

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 48.81Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 256.06Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 795 ±8.8

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 33.27Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 210.71Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 137.39Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1466, 1086, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

334.2 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1466, 1086, 10021

Auto

83.0 25%

Teleop

160.0 48%

Endgame

90.2 27%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 620, 27, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

381.4 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 620, 27, 2539

Auto

76.6 20%

Teleop

219.4 56%

Endgame

95.2 24%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.72 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score334.2pts

Blue projected score381.4pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.2
Score range: 292–423
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 596 vs event baseline 231.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.8Season APEX795

83Auto76.6

160Teleop219.4

90.2Endgame95.2

77Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	84	6
teleop	126	245
endgame	32	103
foul	0	0
total	242	354

Result

Final score

242 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable