Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

332.14 – 97.78

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

305 – 321

Prediction missed · off by 125.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.8 ±11.4

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 129.46Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 95.06Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 107.62Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 690.9 ±11.5

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 7.76Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 82.09Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 7.93Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 48, 7515

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.1 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 48, 7515

Auto

54.1 16%

Teleop

169.1 51%

Endgame

106.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 90%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1325, 4467, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.8 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 4467, 3492

Auto

24.9 26%

Teleop

34.6 37%

Endgame

35.2 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 90%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.98 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score332.1pts

Blue projected score97.8pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 90%, blue 80%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 234.4
Score range: 57–373
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 626 vs event baseline 226.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.8Season APEX690.9

54.1Auto24.9

169.1Teleop34.6

106.7Endgame35.2

92Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	71
teleop	180	161
endgame	41	89
foul	5	0
total	305	321

Result

Final score

305 – 321

Prediction missed · off by 125.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable