Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

331.32 – 0

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

385 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 171.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 823.6 ±8.7

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 113.3Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 103.4Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 114.62Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635.6 ±11

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX -3.03Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX -60.22Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 58.82Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 48, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.3 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 48, 2539

Auto

94.0 28%

Teleop

161.7 48%

Endgame

79.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4265, 1325, 1629

/ 100 compat

Projected

-4.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4265, 1325, 1629

Auto

14.4 0%

Teleop

-11.0 100%

Endgame

-6.9 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 96%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.16 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score331.3pts

Blue projected score-4.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 96%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 331.3
Score range: -41–372
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 674 vs event baseline 226.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

823.6Season APEX635.6

94Auto14.4

161.7Teleop-11

79.6Endgame-6.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	31
teleop	220	162
endgame	104	91
foul	5	5
total	385	289

Result

Final score

385 – 289

Prediction correct · off by 171.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable