Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

233.87 – 329.46

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

132 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 514.1 ±12.4

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 66.92Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 56.99Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 109.96Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 852.4 ±9.4

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 18.91Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 93.81Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 216.74Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5338, 1466, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5338, 1466, 10011

Auto

77.6 32%

Teleop

118.4 49%

Endgame

46.5 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3492, 117, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

329.5 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3492, 117, 27

Auto

46.7 17%

Teleop

151.6 54%

Endgame

83.3 30%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 83%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.4 · Blue 2.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score233.9pts

Blue projected score329.5pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 83%, blue 85%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.6
Score range: 193–370
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 227.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

514.1Season APEX852.4

77.6Auto46.7

118.4Teleop151.6

46.5Endgame83.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	53
teleop	57	160
endgame	75	91
foul	0	0
total	132	304

Result

Final score

132 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable