Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.77 – 231.85

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

272 – 488

Prediction correct · off by 201.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.2 ±12.4

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 74.37Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX -4.39Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 54.79Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.7 ±10.5

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX -62.42Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 115.61Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 178.66Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4467, 620, 1262

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.8 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4467, 620, 1262

Auto

1.0 1%

Teleop

71.4 64%

Endgame

39.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1111, 3940, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.9 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1111, 3940, 10021

Auto

61.1 26%

Teleop

105.8 45%

Endgame

66.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.29 · Blue 2.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score124.8pts

Blue projected score231.9pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 81%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.1
Score range: 86–271
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 760 vs event baseline 214.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.2Season APEX511.7

1Auto61.1

71.4Teleop105.8

39Endgame66.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	49
teleop	162	298
endgame	37	141
foul	10	0
total	272	488

Result

Final score

272 – 488

Prediction correct · off by 201.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable