Qualification · Qualification 125
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
250.77 – 408.1
12%88%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 712.8 ±11.9
Season APEX 251Event APEX 63.12Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 97.6Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 90.05Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 612.2 ±9.9
Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 160.5Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 283Event APEX 221.18Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 26.42Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5338, 117, 4467
66
/ 100 compatProjected
250.8 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5338, 117, 4467
Auto
53.3 22%
Teleop
144.9 59%
Endgame
49.3 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 86%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2539, 10021, 9121
82
/ 100 compatProjected
408.1 pts
~2.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2539, 10021, 9121
Auto
80.5 20%
Teleop
232.4 57%
Endgame
95.3 23%
Strengths
- · 10021 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 86%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score250.8pts
Blue projected score408.1pts
Red win probability12%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 86%, blue 89%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -157.3
- Score range
- 210–449
- Upset likelihood
- 12%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
712.8Season APEX612.2
53.3Auto80.5
144.9Teleop232.4
49.3Endgame95.3
40Consistency26
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.