Qualification · Qualification 124
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
309.88 – 119.71
91%9%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 599.7 ±9.5
Season APEX 157Event APEX 67.6Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 48.17Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 194.11Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 62.84Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 32.26Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 24.61Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1533, 8728, 1325
74
/ 100 compatProjected
309.9 pts
~3.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1533, 8728, 1325
Auto
48.9 16%
Teleop
185.5 59%
Endgame
79.9 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 87%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1262, 5811, 2614
43
/ 100 compatProjected
119.7 pts
~1.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1262, 5811, 2614
Auto
36.9 33%
Teleop
56.5 51%
Endgame
17.9 16%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 87%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.95 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score309.9pts
Blue projected score119.7pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 87%, blue 77%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 190.2
- Score range
- 78–352
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
599.7Season APEX401.6
48.9Auto36.9
185.5Teleop56.5
79.9Endgame17.9
2Consistency28
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.