Qualification · Qualification 123
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
339.49 – 47.47
97%3%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 600.2 ±11.5
Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 6.84Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 44.93Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 287.72Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 20.13Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42Event APEX 29.27Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -1.93Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 620, 7515, 27
79
/ 100 compatProjected
339.5 pts
~2.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 620, 7515, 27
Auto
49.7 15%
Teleop
192.7 57%
Endgame
96.9 29%
Strengths
- · 27 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 83%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1466, 611, 3492
14
/ 100 compatProjected
47.5 pts
~0.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1466, 611, 3492
Auto
16.4 40%
Teleop
4.7 12%
Endgame
19.7 48%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 83%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.91 · Blue 0.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score339.5pts
Blue projected score47.5pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 83%, blue 75%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 292
- Score range
- 5–381
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
600.2Season APEX359.8
49.7Auto16.4
192.7Teleop4.7
96.9Endgame19.7
14Consistency23
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.