Qualification · Qualification 122
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
308.68 – 120.37
91%9%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 539.7 ±11.9
Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 69.11Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 112.77Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 126.8Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384 ±12.4
Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 91.77Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 17.36Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 11.24Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4265, 346, 3940
74
/ 100 compatProjected
308.7 pts
~2.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4265, 346, 3940
Auto
50.2 16%
Teleop
174.6 56%
Endgame
85.2 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 90%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 48, 3260, 1111
39
/ 100 compatProjected
120.4 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 48, 3260, 1111
Auto
12.9 11%
Teleop
69.0 60%
Endgame
33.7 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 90%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.9 · Blue 1.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score308.7pts
Blue projected score120.4pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 90%, blue 76%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 188.3
- Score range
- 78–351
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
539.7Season APEX384
50.2Auto12.9
174.6Teleop69
85.2Endgame33.7
3Consistency0
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.