Qualification · Qualification 121
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
263.3 – 115.57
86%14%
Actual result
Not yet played. The prediction will be graded against the final score once results are in.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 587.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 51.05Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 173.51Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 38.74Rank 21Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 34.08Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 40.08Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 41.41Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5740, 195, 1086
69
/ 100 compatProjected
263.3 pts
~2.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5740, 195, 1086
Auto
73.7 29%
Teleop
127.3 50%
Endgame
56.0 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 84%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10011, 6239, 1629
41
/ 100 compatProjected
115.6 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10011, 6239, 1629
Auto
33.0 30%
Teleop
46.5 43%
Endgame
29.2 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 84%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.75 · Blue 1.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score263.3pts
Blue projected score115.6pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample240alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 84%, blue 79%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 147.7
- Score range
- 74–305
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
587.5Season APEX419.6
73.7Auto33
127.3Teleop46.5
56Endgame29.2
12Consistency14
Result
This match hasn't been played yet. The prediction will be graded against the actual result once final scores are in.