Qualification · Qualification 120

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

166.72 – 548.76

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

83 – 455

Prediction correct · off by 88.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.8 ±13.5

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 97.6Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 44.77Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 24.35Rank 18Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 866.7 ±7.5

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 67.27Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 287.36Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 194.13Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 117, 7515, 2614

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.7 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 117, 7515, 2614

Auto

50.3 31%

Teleop

88.3 54%

Endgame

24.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1533, 27, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

548.8 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1533, 27, 1325

Auto

79.6 14%

Teleop

321.0 58%

Endgame

153.1 28%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.96 · Blue 3.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score166.7pts

Blue projected score548.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -382
Score range: 126–590
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 538 vs event baseline 230.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

484.8Season APEX866.7

50.3Auto79.6

88.3Teleop321

24.3Endgame153.1

32Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	82
teleop	46	260
endgame	13	113
foul	5	0
total	83	455

Result

Final score

83 – 455

Prediction correct · off by 88.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable