Qualification · Qualification 117

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.03 – 125.32

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

405 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.7 ±10.5

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -7.14Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 40.08Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 216.09Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368 ±11.7

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 9.14Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1262the STAGS

Season APEX 117.5Event APEX 65.13Rank 20Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 51.05Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3492, 6239, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

249 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3492, 6239, 10021

Auto

54.4 22%

Teleop

133.4 55%

Endgame

56.5 23%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 620, 1262, 5740

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.3 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 620, 1262, 5740

Auto

32.8 28%

Teleop

56.6 48%

Endgame

27.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.65 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score249pts

Blue projected score125.3pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 78%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.7
Score range: 83–291
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 519 vs event baseline 230.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

538.7Season APEX368

54.4Auto32.8

133.4Teleop56.6

56.5Endgame27.7

30Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	17
teleop	221	51
endgame	96	46
foul	5	0
total	405	114

Result

Final score

405 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable