Qualification · Qualification 116

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

380.85 – 294.69

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

344 – 314

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 821.6 ±8.7

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 175.08Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 162.72Rank 5Record 15-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 43.05Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 701.4 ±11.4

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 91.21Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 112.33Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 91.15Rank 7Record 14-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 2539, 1629

/ 100 compat

Projected

380.9 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 2539, 1629

Auto

86.1 23%

Teleop

205.7 55%

Endgame

82.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4467, 346, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.7 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4467, 346, 48

Auto

46.9 16%

Teleop

168.8 57%

Endgame

79.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.58 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score380.9pts

Blue projected score294.7pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 87%, blue 90%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 86.2
Score range: 254–422
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 658 vs event baseline 230.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

821.6Season APEX701.4

86.1Auto46.9

205.7Teleop168.8

82.2Endgame79.9

10Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	39
teleop	220	203
endgame	78	72
foul	5	0
total	344	314

Result

Final score

344 – 314

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable