Qualification · Qualification 115

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.97 – 365.95

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

172 – 569

Prediction correct · off by 137.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509.3 ±11.1

1111Power Hawks Robotics

Season APEX 81.8Event APEX 8.57Rank 30Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 31.85Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 59.55Rank 11Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 563.9 ±11.5

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 186.65Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 60.43Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 118.87Rank 8Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1111, 5811, 5338

/ 100 compat

Projected

100 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1111, 5811, 5338

Auto

20.7 21%

Teleop

51.8 54%

Endgame

23.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1325, 4265, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

366 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 4265, 3940

Auto

57.5 16%

Teleop

214.0 58%

Endgame

98.9 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.93 · Blue 3.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score100pts

Blue projected score366pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 90%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -266
Score range: 59–407
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 741 vs event baseline 228.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509.3Season APEX563.9

20.7Auto57.5

51.8Teleop214

23.9Endgame98.9

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	74
teleop	105	336
endgame	38	159
foul	0	0
total	172	569

Result

Final score

172 – 569

Prediction correct · off by 137.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable