Qualification · Qualification 114

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.32 – 320.28

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

135 – 462

Prediction correct · off by 100.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 470.3 ±12.8

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 32.7Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 50.96Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -8.34Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 569.1 ±9.9

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 212.12Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 44.31Rank 9Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 63.85Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10011, 5740, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.3 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10011, 5740, 3492

Auto

36.2 52%

Teleop

14.2 20%

Endgame

19.7 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10021, 8728, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.3 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10021, 8728, 1533

Auto

58.5 18%

Teleop

189.5 59%

Endgame

74.7 23%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1 · Blue 3.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score75.3pts

Blue projected score320.3pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -245
Score range: 34–361
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 597 vs event baseline 228.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

470.3Season APEX569.1

36.2Auto58.5

14.2Teleop189.5

19.7Endgame74.7

15Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	94
teleop	60	264
endgame	36	104
foul	5	0
total	135	462

Result

Final score

135 – 462

Prediction correct · off by 100.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable