Qualification · Qualification 111

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

463.36 – 116.94

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

636 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 88.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 779.1 ±11

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 283.17Rank 1Record 22-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 11.03Rank 29Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 88

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 169.16Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±13.4

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 47.82Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 27.51Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6239The Irrational Engineers

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 41.61Rank 19Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 3260, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

463.4 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 3260, 195

Auto

76.4 17%

Teleop

253.8 56%

Endgame

125.0 27%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 88%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7515, 9121, 6239

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7515, 9121, 6239

Auto

26.1 24%

Teleop

52.4 48%

Endgame

29.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 88%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.11 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score463.4pts

Blue projected score116.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 88%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 346.4
Score range: 76–504
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 758 vs event baseline 226.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

779.1Season APEX204.2

76.4Auto26.1

253.8Teleop52.4

125Endgame29.7

28Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	131	21
teleop	339	55
endgame	166	41
foul	0	5
total	636	122

Result

Final score

636 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 88.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable