Qualification · Qualification 110

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.66 – 107.28

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

367 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 73.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.1 ±11.2

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX -12.48Rank 25Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5740Trojanators

Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 46.12Rank 15Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 207.02Rank 3Record 19-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 526.3 ±11.7

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 33.03Rank 23Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 32.6Rank 13Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 41.65Rank 22Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3492, 5740, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.7 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3492, 5740, 10021

Auto

61.9 26%

Teleop

116.0 49%

Endgame

58.8 25%

Strengths

· 10021 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5811, 10011, 1629

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.3 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5811, 10011, 1629

Auto

43.5 41%

Teleop

42.6 40%

Endgame

19.6 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.7 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score240.7pts

Blue projected score107.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 81%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.4
Score range: 66–282
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 495 vs event baseline 226.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.1Season APEX526.3

61.9Auto43.5

116Teleop42.6

58.8Endgame19.6

30Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	102	25
teleop	205	39
endgame	60	54
foul	0	10
total	367	128

Result

Final score

367 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 73.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable