Qualification · Qualification 109

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

363.91 – 125.08

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

373 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 40 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 760 ±8.1

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 189.23Rank 2Record 20-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 64.14Rank 14Record 11-13-0Status establishedConfidence 100

346RoboHawks

Season APEX 289.4Event APEX 110.54Rank 10Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.7 ±11

611Saxons

Season APEX 42Event APEX 23.09Rank 16Record 12-12-0Status establishedConfidence 97

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 99.04Rank 6Record 16-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

620Warbots

Season APEX 97.3Event APEX 2.95Rank 27Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 1533, 346

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.9 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1325, 1533, 346

Auto

54.6 14%

Teleop

227.9 60%

Endgame

94.6 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 611, 117, 620

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.1 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 611, 117, 620

Auto

31.8 26%

Teleop

61.7 50%

Endgame

29.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.01 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score363.9pts

Blue projected score125.1pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 87%, blue 82%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 238.8
Score range: 84–405
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 569 vs event baseline 226.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

760Season APEX409.7

54.6Auto31.8

227.9Teleop61.7

94.6Endgame29.7

5Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	42
teleop	167	128
endgame	134	26
foul	0	0
total	373	196

Result

Final score

373 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 40 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable