Qualification · Qualification 108

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

189.46 – 254.05

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 99.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 430.1 ±15

7515Dark Side Robotics

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 56.24Rank 26Record 8-16-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 31.91Rank 28Record 7-17-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 101.31Rank 12Record 13-11-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432.4 ±12.4

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 25.67Rank 24Record 9-15-0Status establishedConfidence 97

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 167.42Rank 4Record 18-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 60.96Rank 17Record 10-14-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7515, 1466, 4467

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.5 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7515, 1466, 4467

Auto

45.4 25%

Teleop

96.6 52%

Endgame

43.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9121, 195, 4265

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.1 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9121, 195, 4265

Auto

51.6 21%

Teleop

124.1 50%

Endgame

74.3 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.51 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score189.5pts

Blue projected score254.1pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample240alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 86%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.6
Score range: 148–295
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 226.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

430.1Season APEX432.4

45.4Auto51.6

96.6Teleop124.1

43Endgame74.3

5Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	64
teleop	33	162
endgame	0	37
foul	0	45
total	45	308

Result

Final score

45 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 99.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable